Businesses lukewarm on U.S., Wisconsin economies, survey says

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Wisconsin businesses enter 2026 with measured optimism about the state and national economies, according to a new statewide economic survey conducted by Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce (WMC), the combined state chamber of commerce and manufacturers’ association.

The survey also shows that the high cost of providing employer sponsored health care continues to be a major challenge, and many business leaders maintain support for tariffs.

When asked to rate the current state of the U.S. economy, 60% said it was “moderate,” while 18% said it was either “very strong” or “strong,” and 21% said it was “weak.” Wisconsin’s economy ranked a bit better with 73% saying it was “moderate,” versus 19% saying it was either “very strong” or “strong.” Just 8% rated the Wisconsin economy was “weak.” But more business leaders believe the U.S. is headed in the right direction (70%) than the state (46%).

Ninety percent of respondents said they were profitable in the last 6 months of 2025, up from 86% in the summer. Ninety-six percent predict they will be profitable during the first half of 2026.

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According to the survey, the top three concerns facing Wisconsin businesses are the national economy, health care costs and labor availability. When asked how state government could help businesses, a plurality of respondents (43%) answered “make health care more affordable.” Other top responses included reducing regulation and reducing taxes.

Sixty percent said they were having trouble finding workers, up from 52% six months ago, which was the lowest percentage in a decade. For context, that metric peaked at 88% in the winter of 2022.

“This survey reveals that we have something of a bipolar economy,” commented WMC President & CEO Kurt R. Bauer. “We have some good news and some bad news, but hiring trends are a sign that the economy is strengthening.”

Bauer explained that the two surveys released in 2025 saw the lowest number of businesses having trouble finding workers in a decade. The fact that the number increased in this latest survey is an indicator that hiring is rebounding.

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Support for tariffs among business leaders remains strong, with 70% continuing to back them. While this reflects a decline from winter 2025 when 86% expressed at least some level of support, the majority still favor maintaining tariffs. Interestingly, nearly half of respondents said tariffs had a negative impact on their business, while 12% said they have a positive impact. Many Wisconsin companies report the tariffs have had no impact on their business.

“Overall, Wisconsin employers seem to be lukewarm,” Bauer concluded. “Although we see hints of optimism like increased hiring and a relatively good outlook for the U.S. economy, businesses are still frustrated with high healthcare costs and finding capable employees.”

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